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“I find economics increasingly satisfactory, and I think I am rather good at it.”– John Maynard Keynes
Showing posts with label skills gap. Show all posts
Showing posts with label skills gap. Show all posts

Wednesday, 29 January 2025

A critical view of our apprenticeship system

 harryph

Is there any problem that can’t be made worse by the big state slamming down its clunking fist? In the 2015 Budget, George Osborne, then the Chancellor of the Exchequer, announced that we were to have an apprenticeship levy – a new tax on businesses to fund apprenticeship schemes which was implemented in 2017.

Osborne declared that while ‘many firms do a brilliant job training their workforces; there are too many large companies who leave the training to others’. The temptation to meddle being irresistible, he had decided to take this ‘bold step we need to take if Britain is going to raise its game’.

It has proved an expensive, bureaucratic failure. The cost is nearly £4 billion a year – firms pay the money out and then seek to reclaim it by spending on training in a way that ticks the officialdom’s boxes. The Treasury is rewarded for complexity by being able to keep the money left over when firms give up and don’t claim it all.

Naturally, the new Government seeks to continue with an interventionist approach – though it has changed the name to the ‘growth and skills levy’ and promises more ‘flexibility’ by not requiring the spending to go on apprenticeships.

The Times reports that the scheme is ‘increasingly used by employers to train experienced and well-paid executives, whom they would have paid for anyway, rather than taking on and training new employees at the start of their career’. Senior executives are sent on courses such as MBAs.

Neil Carberry, Chief Executive of the Recruitment and Employment Confederation, said:

It has become a system of investing in the skills of experienced workers over the age of 25 rather than what it should be, which is investing in the skill of young people who will be the experienced workers of tomorrow.

According to the Department of Education’s own figures, we had 276,000 ‘apprenticeship achievements’ in 2017. In comes the levy and what happens? For 2023, the latest year for which data is available, it had fallen to 178,220. Billions spent to make a bad situation worse.

The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development has crunched some other numbers and in a report last year concluded that ‘the Apprenticeship Levy has so far failed to achieve its aims. Employer investment in training has continued to fall and the overall number of apprenticeships has fallen, especially for young people’. There is ‘widespread rebadging of training for existing staff as apprenticeships’. The ‘dead weight’ cost ‘of the government subsidising training that would have occurred regardless’ and the distortion where ‘displacement occurs when employers reduce spending on other types of workplace training’.

Government funding and control also reduce the incentive and ability of firms to ensure the schemes are good quality – one reason apprentices often drop out before completing the course.

The report adds:

In 2022/23 there were a total of around 337,000 apprenticeship starts, considerably below the pre-Apprenticeship Levy figures of 509,000 in 2015/16.

The fall among the young was particularly dire.

The notion that the state knows better than business what sort of training and apprenticeship schemes should be offered has been discredited. This blundering arrogance will not be improved simply by switching from a Conservative to a Labour government bossing businessmen around. It will just be done with an even more sanctimonious tone.

That is not to deny that the skills shortage is a dire problem. Consider housing. It is often pointed out that immigration adds to the pressure. It is often retorted that we rely on immigrants to provide the skilled labour needed to build new homes.

But the state is the cause of, not the solution for such woes. We should start by ending the cruel scam of subsidising young people to go off to university to undertake worthless ‘Mickey Mouse’ courses. Despite the subsidy, they still graduate saddled with debt and discover that a degree in the sociology of deviance or the sociology of leisure is of limited value in the jobs market.

If those precious years were not wasted, they could be finding their way in work of practical value.

Another great displacement activity is welfare. It should not be possible to go straight from school to signing on. Nobody should be entitled to any welfare benefits below the age of 20. This would give a chance for the work ethic to be inculcated. There would be some friction between a workshy teenager who has left school – demanding pocket money as well as continued free board and lodging – and his parents. That friction would be welcome. 

To help ensure the availability of work, the minimum wage should be abolished for teenagers. The employer and employee should be left to work out for themselves who is exploiting whom and to mix and match accordingly. Suppose an 18-year-old was offered £50 a week to be a plumber’s mate? Gradually, they would be trusted to go off on their own to deal with the simpler jobs. I suspect the apprenticeship is more relevant than getting a plumbing diploma. In a couple of years, they could be earning £50 an hour rather than £50 a week.

We should also increase choice by lowering the school leaving age back down to 16. Those who are not academically-minded already have the option of vocational qualifications – often at a sixth-form college or further education college. But why not allow them to go and start a proper job if they so wish?

The young are invariably full of ambition, enterprise and enthusiasm for a career. But when they try to pursue it, they often get ground down by the system. The biggest favour the government could do for them is to stop trying to help and just get out of the way.

Tuesday, 16 April 2024

Neets - why so many?

 

Why are so many young people not looking for work?

In a post-Covid hangover, a million ‘Neets’ youngsters are neither in work or education, despite employers being desperate to fill roles

ILLUSTRATION BY NINA KRAUSE
The Sunday Times
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In a busy youth centre in Bristol, Rozzy Amos is on the front line of a puzzling crisis that has been building behind closed doors the length and breadth of Britain since the Covid pandemic: the high numbers of young people not in work and, in many cases, not even looking for work.

Economists and statisticians are puzzling over how a country where employers are desperately short of workers can have, according to an analysis of data released last week from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), a million young people neither in full-time education nor employment.

Amos, head of strategy at the Prince’s Trust, said that she sees young people either struggling with their mental health, lacking self-confidence, or struggling to find the right job to suit their skills.

Rozzy Amos says that young people have “lost their confidence” when it comes to looking for work
Rozzy Amos says that young people have “lost their confidence” when it comes to looking for work
ROZZY AMOS/PRINCES TRUST

“We see lots of young people who have lost their confidence in looking for work — sometimes that’s because they don’t have the skill sets, often it’s because people are sending out so many CVs and they are not getting anything back,” she said.

The analysis of the official data by the Institute of Employment Studies suggests that some one in seven young people are not in employment, full-time education or training, the highest proportion since 2015.

Another way to measure young people’s engagement with work, the cohort known as Neets — 16 to 24-year-olds who are not in employment, education or training — also paints a worrying picture. This gauge, which includes young people who are in part-time education, stands at 12 per cent, its highest rate in eight years.

Nobody knows precisely why we have so many Neets. Are the young people Amos is seeing at the Prince’s Trust typical, or are there other reasons for these worryingly high numbers?

Health

“It’s clear that mental health is one of the drivers,” said Barry Fletcher, chief executive of Youth Futures Foundation, set up by the government in 2019 to improve opportunities for the nation’s youngsters.

This is borne out by data from the Prince’s Trust, which found that 32 per cent of Neets had been unable to apply for jobs in the past 12 months because of their mental health.

Research shows that young people are increasingly reporting symptoms of depression, anxiety or bipolar disorder. A three-year study by the Resolution Foundation, published last month, found that in 2021-22 one in three people aged 18 to 24 had reported issues with their mental health, up from one in four in 2000.

Another survey measuring the feelings of young people found changes before and after the pandemic. The Wellcome Trust’s Myriad (my resilience in adolescence) project has reported that young people who went through Covid lockdowns were more likely to experience social, emotional and behavioural difficulties than a group of students analysed before the pandemic.

And while Covid caused young people to feel anxious and lonely, the findings of a survey by the Prince’s Trust show that they remain unhappy even now. The cost of living crisis is another factor weighing on their emotions, according to its 2024 Youth Index survey. It found that 62 per cent of the young people it surveyed “always or often” felt stressed, and 55 per cent felt anxious.

But not having a job can itself perpetuate the situation. The Prince’s Trust Youth Index survey, which has been running for 15 years, found that 32 per cent of Neets are reporting mental health issues due to being out of work.

Other lockdown legacies

Another hangover from the pandemic has been the rising number of children not turning up at school. Consequently they are emerging into the workplace lacking the qualifications to get hired, and perhaps also missing the careers guidance that schools offer pupils as they prepare to leave.

Research by the House of Commons Library found that the absence rate at state-funded schools in England has risen from 4.5 per cent in 2016-17 to 7.3 per cent in 2022-23.

Another way that lockdowns damaged the current generation of school-leavers has been the way their communication and social skills have suffered from being stuck at home, doing lessons on computer screens. Some managers describe how new joiners can struggle to hold eye contact, or find it difficult interacting with new people in the workplace.

Part of that may also be because employers were prevented from offering students work experience during lockdowns.

Apprenticeships

There is some concern that apprenticeships designed for those who do not study A levels and take other further education routes are in decline.

James Reed of the eponymous recruitment agency Reed was so concerned by about the skills of young people that he commissioned research, along with the Recruitment and Employment Confederation, from the education think tank EDSK. It found that the proportion of 16-year-olds on apprenticeships had dropped from 7.8 per cent in 1999 to 2.8 per cent in 2022.

Since 2015, the number of entry-level apprenticeships for under-19s had fallen by 38 per cent to 77,510 in 2022-23. For those aged 19 to 24 the number was also down 38 per cent.

The government’s apprenticeship levy, paid by large employers to fund training, the report argued, encouraged employers to spend money up-skilling their existing workers via training courses. Of the learners who started an apprenticeship in 2021-22, only 26 per cent were on entry-level learning, compared with 53 per cent before the introduction of the levy. Apprenticeships aimed at higher learners — foundation degrees and higher — rose more than fivefold between 2014/5 and 2022/3.

The government’s apprenticeship levy, paid by large employers to fund training, has, in reality, encouraged employers to spend money up-skilling their existing workers via training courses. Of the learners who started an apprenticeship in 2021-22, only 26 per cent were on entry-level learning, compared with 53 per cent before the introduction of the levy.

Not the right job

Some analysts say the increasing number of school-leavers going to university rather than into apprenticeships is part of the problem. Research by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development found that graduates are finding it difficult to land the jobs they studied for, while more than a third who are in work are overqualified for their roles.

Some researchers suggest many graduates are waiting to find a job that fits their qualifications rather than starting at the bottom of the ladder.

Geography also counts. ONS data shows that the highest number of Neets are in northeast England (17.2 per cent of all Neets) and Humber (14.3 per cent). The job markets in post-industrial areas such as these may not be offering the opportunities young people might want.

Darren Hankey, principal at Hartlepool College of Further Education, said that docks and the mines provided full-time work in the past, but those lost jobs had not been replaced by permanent roles. “Hartlepool is a wonderful place with lots of bright spots but there is a lot of poverty,” he said. “We’ve got one of the highest levels of insecure work. I wonder if that fuels where we are in terms of younger people opting not to work: the quality of work is probably not as good as it needs to be.”

Living at home

Fletcher at Youth Futures estimated that 350,000 of the 851,000 Neets are not claiming the £67.41 per week they would be receiving on universal credit. So, without work and without benefits, what do they do for money?

“A lot will be living with their parents,” said Fletcher.

ONS data shows that there was a 13.6 per cent rise in adult children living with their parents in 2021 compared with decade earlier. It said this was mainly caused by expensive housing but added: “Adult children were also more likely to be unemployed or providing unpaid care.”

Back in Bristol, Amos stressed: “We don’t ever meet young people who don’t want to work”. But she warned that young people are aware they are being labelled as lazy, workshy or “too picky”. Such attitudes can make matters worse, she said. “It doesn’t help that young people feel they’re the ones doing something wrong and not being part of society, but ultimately they’re pretty desperate to be connected with their community.”